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Trade Ideas

Global Trade Idea: Stryker Corporation (SYK US) - BUY

 

By Peet Serfontein & Khumbulani Kunene

Stryker Corporation is a leading United States (US)-based health tech company that develops, manufactures, and markets specialty surgical and medical products. The company's products include implants, biologics, surgical, neurologic, ear, nose and throat and interventional pain equipment, endoscopic, surgical navigation, communications and digital imaging systems, as well as patient handling and emergency medical equipment.

Stryker operates globally, supplying hospitals and healthcare providers with advanced medical devices and systems. The company has invested in AI as well as in research and development, maintaining a competitive edge in the healthcare and life sciences sector.

Technically, strong seasonal strength presents a promising investment opportunity (see the insert on the main chart). Stryker delivered some of its strongest average monthly returns in January (+2.7%), November (+1.7%) and December (+2.7%) since 2000. Though future gains are guaranteed, seasonal strength can reinforce a bullish outlook when aligned with other positive technical or fundamental factors.

Convergence in the price is notable. As the price continues to coil within the narrowing range, a breakout becomes increasingly likely. A decisive break above the upper resistance trendline would signal a bullish continuation.

The Elliot Wave analysis outlines a clear progression of higher highs and higher lows highlighting a consistent upward trajectory, suggesting a larger impulsive wave pattern may be unfolding.

Muted upside price momentum per the MACD histogram, as well as the recent sideways trajectory of the on-balance volume (OBV) indicator, supports our bullish view.

Share Information
Share Code SYK
Industry Health Care Equipment & Services
Market Capital (USD) 144.16 billion
One Year Total Return 17.91%
Return Year-to-Date 5.19%
Current Price (USD) 377
52 Week High (USD) 406
52 Week Low (USD) 316
Financial Year End December
The price is using its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) as support, which also supports a bull case for the stock.

Consensus Expectations (Bloomberg)
FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
Headline Earnings per Share (USD) 12.19 13.49 14.82 14.48
Growth (%) 10.66 9.84 11.20
Dividend Per Share (USD) 3.20 3.29 3.47 3.68
Growth (%) 2.94 5.31 6.05
Forward PE (times) 27.95 25.45 22.89
Forward Dividend Yield (%) 0.87 0.92 0.98
Medium-term growth prospects remain positive for the group, with momentum expected to improve over the next few financial periods.

Buy/Sell Rationale:

Technical Analysis:

    • The lower panel shows occurrences of the Three Outside Up Japanese candlestick patterns. A reading of one indicates when such a pattern occurred. This pattern is a classic bullish reversal signal. This three-candle formation begins with a bearish candle, followed by a larger bullish second candle that fully engulfs the first, and a third bullish candle that confirms the reversal with a higher close (see the insert). This reflects a clear shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish.
    • Our recommended entry range is $371 to $390, or as close as possible to $380.86 - a drop below this range would indicate a substantial change in price dynamics, giving reason to negate the trade idea.
    • Our target price is $428, representing ~12.4% upside from current levels.
    • According to forward calculations of Relative Strength Index indicator, the stock will be overbought at $475, making our profit target realistic.
    • Our proposed time to exit is end of October 2025, but investors can adjust for a longer or shorter time horizon, depending on price behaviour.
    • A drop below $362, or 5% below current levels, would suggest weakening technicals and a stop-loss is recommended at this level.
    • We expect moderate fluctuations in the future and therefore suggest medium at-risk allocation for this trade. Increase exposure for a break above $390.

Long-term Fundamental view

    • Stryker operates primarily through two segments:
      • MedSurg and Neurotechnology (~60% of revenue) products include patient handling, emergency medical equipment, intensive care disposable products and clinical communication, as well as AI-assisted virtual care platform technology.
      • Orthopaedics (~40% of revenue) includes implants used in trauma and extremities surgeries, total joint replacements, and cervical and thoracolumbar systems.
    • SYK's footprint spans over 295 countries including about 45 manufacturing locations. The US accounts for ~75% of the company's revenue.
    • The company's customers include doctors, hospitals, and other healthcare facilities with its products sold worldwide through company-owned subsidiaries and branches, as well as third-party dealers and distributors.
    • As part of the company's growth strategy, Stryker recently acquired Inari Medical, a company that provides innovative solutions for venous thromboembolism (VTE) clot removal without the use of thrombolytic drugs, for ~$4.9 billion.
    • In FY24, revenue grew 10.2% to $22.6 billion, due to higher revenue in both operating segments. This was driven by strong organic momentum amid robust demand for procedural products. New product launches and key innovations like the Pangea trauma plating system were supportive to growth.
    • Management remains focused on driving shareholder value and anticipates growth synergy from the Inari Medical acquisition, which is set to contribute meaningfully to the top line in FY25.
    • From a risk perspective, the company is exposed to compliance risks in this highly regulated environment. Macroeconomic headwinds such as inflationary pressures may affect margins if pricing does note offset costs.

Share Name and Position ABBV - Buy
(Continue to hold)
ETN - Buy
(Continue to hold)
MSI - Buy
(Continue to hold)
Entry 185.72 334.86 422.93
Current Price 198.55 356.45 434.05
Movement +6.9% +6.4% +2.6%
Comment An upward sloping inclining channel pattern remains of interest. Crossed above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Upside price momentum is supportive.

Our profit target is $216 with a trailing stop-loss at $174.
A price that seems to be developing wave b of the Elliott Wave price theory remains of interest. Remains above its 200-day SMA. Fading upside price momentum is a concern.

Our profit target is $395 with a trailing stop-loss at $332.
A price at the start of wave five of the Elliott Wave price theory remains of interest. Remains just below its 200-day SMA. Upside price momentum is supportive.

Our profit target is $476 with a trailing stop-loss at $406
Time to exit 20 August 2025 28 April 2026 13 August 2025

A well-defined inclining channel pattern remains of interest. Continues to test its 200-day simple moving average. Fading downside price momentum is supportive.

Our profit target is $331 with a trailing stop-loss at $286.
Share Name and Position MCD - Buy
(Continue to hold)
ADP - Buy
(Continue to hold)
MET - Buy
(Continue to hold)
Entry 299.17 308.64 79.32
Current Price 298.77 299.44 74.89
Movement -0.1% -3.0% -5.6%
Comment A developing rising wedge pattern remains of interest. Dipped below its 200-day simple moving average. Downside price momentum is a concern.

Our profit target is $336 with a trailing stop-loss at $298.
A developing rising wedge pattern remains of interest. Remains below its 200-day simple moving average. Downside price momentum is a concern.

Our profit target is $89 with a trailing stop-loss at $74.
Time to exit 1 October 2025 30 September 2025 29 August 2025

Share Name and Position FTNT - Stop Loss
(Close the Position)
Entry 104.93
Current Price 97.36
Movement -7.2%
Comment The share triggered a stop-loss, prompting us to close the position.
Time to exit

FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd, a subsidiary of FirstRand Bank Limited, an authorised Financial Services Provider and authorised user of the JSE limited (Reg no: 1996/011732/07). This Publication note is issued by FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd for the information of clients only and should not be produced in whole or part without prior permission. Although FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd is an Authorised Financial Services Provider, any opinions and/or analysis contained in this Publication are for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice, including but not limited to financial, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources/persons which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed for correctness, completeness or otherwise and we do not assume liability for loss arising from errors in the information or that may be suffered from using or relying on the information contained herein irrespective of whether there has been any negligence by us, our affiliates or any other employees of us, and whether such losses be direct or consequential. As market and economic conditions are subject to rapid change, any comments, opinions, and analysis is rendered as of the date of publishing and may change without notice. Such changes may have a material impact on the outcome of any investment. Securities involve a degree of risk and are volatile instruments. Past performance is not indicative of future performances. Securities or financial instruments mentioned in the Publication note may not be suitable for all investors and FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd has bares no responsibility whatsoever arising from or as a consequence hereof. The material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any share, instrument, sector, region, market, country, investment, or strategy. The recipient of this Publication must make their own investment decision and is advised to contact his relationship manager for a personal financial analysis prior to making any investment decisions. Copyright 2018 by FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd.

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